Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
St Pauli
21.7%
Draw
64.2%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
St Pauli
vs
2.05
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).