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22 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Northampton
25.4%
Draw
37.2%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Northampton

vs
1.21

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).