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AHT: 01

05 Oct 2024 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Radomiak Radom
28.8%
Draw
36.0%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Radomiak Radom

vs
1.29

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).