Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Magdeburg
25.5%
Draw
31.4%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Magdeburg
vs
1.44
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).