Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.2%
Southampton
16.2%
Draw
76.6%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Southampton
vs
2.60
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-4
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
0-5
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).