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HHT: 10CSV

23 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Livingston
34.2%
Draw
37.3%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Livingston

vs
1.13

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.5%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).