Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Padova
28.6%
Draw
51.9%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Padova
vs
1.50
Monza
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).