Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Reggina
29.8%
Draw
23.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Reggina
vs
0.91
Brescia
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).