Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Ipswich
29.5%
Draw
32.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Ipswich
vs
1.13
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).