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AHT: 00CSV

22 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Fleetwood Town
26.0%
Draw
36.2%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.22

Crewe

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).