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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.7%
Grantham Town
25.5%
Draw
25.8%
Newark Flowserve

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Grantham Town

vs
0.99

Newark Flowserve

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).