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14 Oct 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.1%
Ebbsfleet
19.7%
Draw
19.2%
Slough Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.11

Slough Town

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).