Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Cultural Leonesa
26.2%
Draw
39.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.34
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).