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04 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.5%
Blackpool
18.1%
Draw
77.4%
Burnley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.33

Blackpool

vs
2.02

Burnley

Markets

BTTS24.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
19.5%
0-1
18.8%
0-3
13.1%
0-0
10.1%
1-1
6.9%
0-4
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-2
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).