Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Exeter
26.6%
Draw
48.0%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Exeter
vs
1.29
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).