Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
Fenerbahce
12.7%
Draw
4.3%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Fenerbahce
vs
0.74
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
4-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
5-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
5-1
4.0%
0-0
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).