Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
AFC Wimbledon
26.1%
Draw
12.1%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.45
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS27.3%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.2%
2-0
15.5%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
3-1
3.3%
4-0
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
0-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).