Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Nieciecza
27.0%
Draw
32.9%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Nieciecza
vs
1.34
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).