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05 Oct 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.4%
Zaragoza
25.9%
Draw
41.7%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Zaragoza

vs
1.41

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).