Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Ad. Demirspor
26.9%
Draw
43.0%
Umraniyespor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.88
Umraniyespor
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).