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AHT: 02CSV

27 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Forfar
32.4%
Draw
45.2%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Forfar

vs
1.35

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).