Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
West Ham
22.3%
Draw
11.8%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
West Ham
vs
0.78
Watford
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).