Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Sampdoria
30.1%
Draw
26.0%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Sampdoria
vs
0.98
Mantova
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).