Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.3%
Heidenheim
25.0%
Draw
52.7%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Heidenheim
vs
1.78
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).