Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Dresden
28.2%
Draw
41.8%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Dresden
vs
1.45
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).