Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Kilmarnock
23.4%
Draw
24.1%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Kilmarnock
vs
1.26
Livingston
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).