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19 Apr 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Degerfors
26.8%
Draw
37.0%
Elfsborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Degerfors

vs
1.50

Elfsborg

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).