Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Mallorca
23.1%
Draw
24.6%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Mallorca
vs
1.21
Almeria
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).