Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Tamworth
29.9%
Draw
36.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Tamworth
vs
1.23
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).