Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Burgos
27.4%
Draw
34.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Burgos
vs
1.17
Almeria
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).