Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Greuther Furth
23.0%
Draw
42.6%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Greuther Furth
vs
1.97
Dresden
Markets
BTTS72.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).