Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Paderborn
26.0%
Draw
18.0%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Paderborn
vs
0.88
Ulm
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).