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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Athletic Newham
16.6%
Draw
66.1%
Sevenoaks Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Athletic Newham

vs
2.66

Sevenoaks Town

Markets

BTTS68.0%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
1-1
6.3%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-3
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
3.9%
2-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).