Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Ath Bilbao
24.5%
Draw
21.9%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.02
Elche
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).