Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.3%
Porto
12.5%
Draw
3.2%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Porto
vs
0.26
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS20.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.4%
1-0
17.9%
3-0
15.8%
4-0
9.1%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
1-1
4.4%
5-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
0-1
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).