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HHT: 10CSV

06 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.0%
Sochaux
27.3%
Draw
31.7%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Sochaux

vs
0.98

Orleans

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).