Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Harrogate
22.9%
Draw
57.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Harrogate
vs
1.70
Swindon
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).