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23 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Zenit

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva
27.8%
Draw
49.0%
Zenit

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Lokomotiv Moskva

vs
1.60

Zenit

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).