Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Nieciecza
25.8%
Draw
50.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Nieciecza
vs
1.71
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).