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23 Sept 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.8%
Levante
18.6%
Draw
11.6%
Eldense

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Levante

vs
0.73

Eldense

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).