Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Carrarese
27.9%
Draw
22.2%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Carrarese
vs
0.96
Avellino
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).