Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Watford
21.2%
Draw
67.4%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Watford
vs
2.18
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.9%
1-1
10.1%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).