Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Leganes
26.8%
Draw
21.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Leganes
vs
0.88
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).