Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Charleroi
23.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Charleroi
vs
1.04
Dender
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).