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DHT: 10CSV

14 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.3%
Wigan
29.5%
Draw
51.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Wigan

vs
1.40

Norwich

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).