Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Spal
27.5%
Draw
18.8%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Spal
vs
0.84
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).