Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Tranmere
23.3%
Draw
50.7%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Tranmere
vs
1.67
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).