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28 May 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Greuther Furth
19.2%
Draw
63.5%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Greuther Furth

vs
2.53

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-3
4.9%
1-4
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-4
3.7%
2-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).