Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Numancia
29.5%
Draw
39.9%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Numancia
vs
1.14
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).