Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Villarreal B
30.1%
Draw
34.1%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Villarreal B
vs
1.01
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
12.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).